The Bulls and Bears of market Seasonality.
Bulls:
Most months are GREEN… Out of 129 months 88 are green and 41 are red.
2017 wins the Bull award for the most consecutive positive monthly closes, but does not win best returns, that title goes to 2013.
The best month to invest in SPY was July, averaging 3.4% and very consistent positive returns.
8 out of these 11 years shown are positive so far.
57 out of 88 positive months occur back-to-back.
Bears:
2022 wins the Bear award for having the most negative months in a single year with 7, closing the year down 19.48% (the runner-up is 2015 with 6 down months but only closed down 0.81%.)
A consistently bad month is September with 6 out of the 10 prior closes negative and the lowest average return.
Out of 41 negative months there have been 12 times a monthly decline occurred back-to-back.
January may win the title for least consistent if October has a return between -.5% and 5.5%
2018 currently holds the “Womp Womp” award for having the greatest build up to meltdown in a single calendar year.
History can be powerful, but not always predictive, nor does it give advice tailored to your specific needs. No matter what the charts reveal, it is important to know why you are invested and whether you can stick to those reasons through the good and bad. That’s why we take time to understand why you save and invest. A portfolio without a “why” is like a ship blown to and fro without a rudder. If you are preparing for retirement, college expenses, or just want to start investing, a financial advisor can help build the rudder and adjust the heading as bull and bear market winds blow. If you are interested in these services, fill out our contact form, and we can get started putting together a plan to help maximize your investment goals.
Securities offered through International Assets Advisory, LLC (“IAA”) – Member FINRA/SIPC. Advisory services offered through International Assets Investment Management, LLC (“IAIM”) –SEC RIA. Blacor Investments is unaffiliated with IAA and IAIM. The information provided is based on carefully selected sources, believed to be reliable, but whose accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. All information and expressions of opinions are subject to change without notice and are those of Blacor Investments. Past performance may not be indicative of future results. This material is for informational purposes only and is not a solicitation or recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security